Jayalalithaa is going, going, gone. According to the CNN-IBN exit poll, the DMK combine, comprising of the PMK and the Congress, is expected to get between 157 and 167 of the 234 seats on offer, with the AIADMK front likely to get between 64-74 seats.
The exit poll, done by CSDS, reports that DMK combine will get 45 per cent of the vote, the AIADMK front will get 35 per cent, and the DMDK and others will get 10 per cent each.
The most preferred choice for Chief Minister, as determined by its exit poll, is Muthuvel Karunanidhi (41 per cent), followed by Jayalalithaa (35%), actor Vijaykanth (10%) and M.K. Stalin (1%).
Asked if Jayalalithaa deserved another chance, 54 per cent of voters said no, 39 per cent said yes, and 7 per cent had no opinion.
A prepoll survey done for the same media vehicle by the same agency had said the poll was too close to call. Clearly, four weeks is a long time in politics. What has changed?
Yogendra Yadav of CSDS says the DMK has done well as we go from north to south. Also, the DMK has struck a chord among slightly older voters of reasonable affluence, especially among women.