Eric Schulman and Daniel Debowy who have evolved an algorithm that has (correctly) predicted the winner of all the 55 U.S. presidential elections between 1789 and 2004, have sat down to crunch some numbers for the 2008 elections. And, they say it’s not going to be everybody’s favourite, Hillary Clinton or Barrack Obama.
“We apply the algorithm to 44 Democratic and Republican candidates for the 2008 U.S. presidential election and find that the Democrats have nine tickets with electabilities greater than 150, whereas the Republicans have five tickets with electabilities greater than 150.
“The most electable ticket, with an electability of 264, has Republican former Governor Tommy G. Thompson as the presidential candidate and Senator Charles T. Hagel as the vice presidential candidate. The next most electable ticket, with an electability of 260, has Democratic retired General Wesley K. Clark as the presidential candidate and former Vice President Albert A. Gore Jr. as the vice presidential candidate. “
Read the full story: Who will win the 2008 US presidential elections?
Link via Annals of Improbable Research
yeah right.
hillary’s campaign manager’s assistant secretary’s bus boys have more campaign funds than clark’s campaign money market checking account.
Tommy thompson?
Thompson or Thomson?
lilly livered bandicoots.
Clark as President and Gore as VP, huh ? Forget the party candidates…first we need to convince Gore that this is a brilliant idea!!!
Who cares…….
What was that about lies, damn lies and statistics?
lies, damn lies and statistics
yoor model gotilla but i think that is a cliche & most often used to dismiss uncomfortable stats. in the same segment somebody like LD can dismiss stats by invoking L,DL & S and then go on to quote other stats in support of his theory, without losing credibility.
TS, I know…but having worked with statistics and models quite a bit, I know they can be tweaked to show what you want to see. Or not show what you don’t want to see.
TS, I know that…but having worked with statistics and models quite a bit, I know they can be tweaked to show what you want to see. Or not show what you don’t want to see.
TS, I know that…but having worked with statistics and models quite a bit, I know they can be tweaked to show what you want to see. Or not show what you don’t want to see.
On another note, anyone know why posts don’t appear at all sometimes?
Romney for president
I liked romney when he was introduced on 60 minutes
he could be a hard arse for spending and life could become hard
but he could pull out of Iraq and economy could be better
DG,
I agree Romney is probably the sanest on the ‘right’. But, check this out…kinda different what Vittal had to say here
http://nvittal.blogspot.com/2007/05/pro-choice-republicans-and-realities-of.html
Yes , I strongly dont want him to win
since he doesnt want stem cell research and has same beliefs as Bush
i couldnt hear Vittal’s post from office
I assume it is the 60 minute interview
guru…office nalli kUtkoMDu kelasa mADu aMdre, bari blog hoppingA ? sari biDu, nAvella oMdE jAti ;)
DS..
FN_LN yahoo – ne na?
DS , Bejaar aguthe siva nooraaru $ bill maadi ..niyath yilladhae blog madokke .
A amele annisuthe …yee neerge gyaas haaki maaro companyge yenu niyath thorsodhu antha …summnaagtheeni
TS,
Yep, adEne…adelli change AgabEku…..nA horaDakke muMche nimmammana hattira mAtADidde.
DG,
LOL…what can I say ? ;)
And, back to the topic, I guess Romney is the best among the ‘right’ lot. See what he did with the state. He should be fairly good.
‘mi email kalsidini fone maadu.
dhayryavantha neenu. gunDige ironu.
romney vishya…
exactly, look at MA, coolest state, atleast as far as things like public spaces, public edu are considered. nee yene heLu, NH bittu NE thara yaava pradesha illa. prolly WC, but SO & MW yella burDe.
but aadroo, yoorella airaaku bittu oDoralva?
kelo vishyadd buDakk iDlilla andre side effects bhayankara. totally convinced about this. whatz this nonsensical push for deadlines & pulling back funds? local politics dems ok. center alli sadhyakke reps idrene lesu.
book people can only be tackled by book people.
maovaada, nehruvaada even ninjavaada ivella waste.
test
Typical. If you don’t like the results of the message – kill the messenger.
The only thing wrong with this prediction is that TOMMY Thompson, who is an absolute freak in all aspects, has absolutely NO chance of getting the repub nomination; my money says they meant to say, FRED Thompson.
Clark/Gore?! Yeah, I could definitely live with that! Those 2 could probably undo most of the damage bushco has done to our Constitution, our environment and our standing in the world in 8 years!
Gore may be a bore but at least he has gravitas. One Clinton should be enough for a life time. Obama? What is his expertise and experience ? One shudders to think that he as a President with his fingers on the buttons of missiles in silos in Dakota really worries me. I am amazed that Americans who sent man to the moon have been sending individuals of questionable morality, ability and attitude, intelligence to 1600 Pensylvania Avenue!