Eric Schulman and Daniel Debowy who have evolved an algorithm that has (correctly) predicted the winner of all the 55 U.S. presidential elections between 1789 and 2004, have sat down to crunch some numbers for the 2008 elections. And, they say it’s not going to be everybody’s favourite, Hillary Clinton or Barrack Obama.
“We apply the algorithm to 44 Democratic and Republican candidates for the 2008 U.S. presidential election and find that the Democrats have nine tickets with electabilities greater than 150, whereas the Republicans have five tickets with electabilities greater than 150.
“The most electable ticket, with an electability of 264, has Republican former Governor Tommy G. Thompson as the presidential candidate and Senator Charles T. Hagel as the vice presidential candidate. The next most electable ticket, with an electability of 260, has Democratic retired General Wesley K. Clark as the presidential candidate and former Vice President Albert A. Gore Jr. as the vice presidential candidate. “
Read the full story: Who will win the 2008 US presidential elections?
Link via Annals of Improbable Research