An exit poll conducted for Suvarna News and Kannada Prabha by C-Fore of the first phase of polling in the Karnataka elections shows a marked improvement in the BJP’s peformance in Bangalore.
The Congress and BJP are both expected to get 13-14 seats each of the 28 seats up for grabs in the capital. A pre-poll survey had predicted 17-18 seats for the Congress in Bangalore, 9-10 for the BJP, 0-1 for the JDS.
Overall, Congress is expected to get 39-42 seats of the 89 that went to the booths today, the BJP 24-27, the JDS 20-23, BSP 1, and others 3. The pre-poll survey had predicted 42-45 seats for the Congress, 22-24 for the BJP, and 19-21 for the JDS, 0-1 for the BSP.
The Congress is expected to get a voteshare of 38 per cent, BJP 24 per cent, JDS 25 per cent in the first phase, according to the exit poll.
# In the 61 constituencies outside Bangalore, the exit poll predicts 26-28 seats for the Congress, 20-22 for the BJP, 11-13 for the JDS, 0-1 for the BSP, 0-2 others. The Congress voteshare in these 61 constituencies stands at 36 per cent, BJP 20 per cent, JDS 28 per cent, BSP 4 per cent and others 12 per cent. Outside Bangalore, the exit poll is predicting a +4 per cent swing for the Congress, +2 per cent for the BJP, -5 per cent for the JDS and +1 for BSP.
# In Bangalore city which has 28 constituencies, the exit poll predicts a 42 per cent voteshare for the Congress, 42 per cent for the BJP, 11 per cent for the JDS, 5 per cent for the others. BSP gets zilch in Bangalore. The pre-poll survey had predicted a 36 per cent voteshare for BJP, marking a six per cent jump for the party. In Bangalore, the poll predicts a +11 per cent swing for the BJP in Bangalore, and a -2 per cent swing for the Congress in Bangalore.
Irrespective of this poll i am trusting my political knoweldge and stay according to my observations and news.
Final figures will be very close around this figure in 89 seats
Congress – 33-35
JDS – 27-31
BJP – 21-23
others – 0-2
In Bangalore BJP and Congress are expected to share 28 seats.
Outside Bangalore Congress just ahead of BJP (26-28 for Congress and 20-22 for BJP).
Then How come congress is ahead of BJP by 10 seats.
I expect lot of seats to be closely fought and BSP factor considerably neglected.
BJP may be close to 40 .
Congress may be 30
JD(S) may be 18-20.
Bad news for Congress and JD(S) is battle shifts to Coastral areas, North Karnataka and Malnad areas. Terrorism was not a factor but after Hubli court blast it will be a major factor.
I expect BJP to get 120 seats with 40 seats in each phase. Take a couple of seats plus or minus in each phase.
# In the 61 constituencies outside Bangalore, the exit poll predicts 26-28 seats for the Congress, 20-22 for the BJP, 11-13 for the JDS, 0-1 for the BSP, 0-2 others. The Congress voteshare in these 61 constituencies stands at 36 per cent, BJP 20 per cent, JDS 28 per cent, BSP 4 per cent and others 12 per cent. Outside Bangalore, the exit poll is predicting a +4 per cent swing for the Congress, +2 per cent for the BJP, -5 per cent for the JDS and +1 for BSP.
dont you kannadigas like to have stable government, if you need vote for BJP dudes, you have given enough chances to congress.
This is certainly very good news for BJP. First phase is considered to be a strong hold of JDS and Congress. BJP has up the telly then 2004 election(if we go by the exit poll). Second and third phase is BJP’s strong holds….So BJP supporter must be feeling good about it…..Hubli blast is certainly going to play role in the second and the third phase….So I think BJP is ahead as per now(If not Far Ahead from congress). JDS has no hopes now to play kingmaker again.
People of Karnataka plz do not vote for the communal and riot-happy BJP. Congress, and even the JDS is a much better option!
Chandra–
What has the BJP done in Karnataka to show that it can provide stable governance? Does “stable” mean efficiency and no corruption?
I think BJP may get around 105 seats…Congress may get 70 and JD(S) 40 seats.
According to my opinion, Congress will have advantage in the First phase of the poll, conducted in 89 seats of Southern Karnataka (Bangalore Metro plus Old Mysore).
Congress – 45-48
BJP – 26-29
JD(S) – 10-13
BSP – 0-2
JD(U) – 0-1
SP – 0-1
Kannada Chalavali Vatal Paksha – 0-1
Raitha Sangh – 0-1
Indes – 0-3
we hindus must vote for bjp.bjp only can teach terrorists a lesson.we hindus must have upper hand in this country.
so vote for bjp.
down with bootlickers of muslim terrorists
Anoop,
Then who escorted Islamic terrorists to Kandahar, and who are worshipping Jinnah?
According to my opinion, Congress will have advantage in the First phase of the poll, conducted in 89 seats of Southern Karnataka (Bangalore Metro plus Old Mysore).
Congress – 45-48
BJP – 26-29
JD(S) – 10-13
BSP – 0-2
JD(U) – 0-1
SP – 0-1
Kannada Chalavali Vatal Paksha – 0-1
Raitha Sangh – 0-1
Indes – 0-3
In Bangalore,
Cong – 15-18
BJP – 10-12
JD(S) – 1-2
—————
Overall, out of 224 seats
Congress – 112-115
BJP – 80-85
JD(S) – 15-17
Maha Ekikaran Samithi – 2-4
BSP – 1-3
SP – 1-2
JD(U) – 1-2
Kannada Chalavali Vatal Paksha – 1-2
Raitha Sangh – 0-1
Indes – 1-5
Capt. Philip,
Pls go to Israel or America. thatz ur country.
Pls dont try to teach the Hindus of India of what they can do.
SANU .. SORRY TO HEAR U TALK LIKE THIS.. THAT IS WHY OUR COUNTRY IN THIS SHAPE.. YR MIND SPEKS FOR U.. SAHME ON U TO CALL YOUR SELF HINDU.. SHAME SHAME
Please dont vote for BJP if u want peace, unity, and development in the state. Please dont convert karnataka into another gujarath by voting BJP. I know almost all terrorists are muslims, but not all muslims are terrorist, there are so many muslims in our country who thinks india their motherland, who want to make their country proud, who want to fight for their country and against terrorism and only congress can unite hindus and muslims.
If the Hubli blast could swell support for the BJP in the polls, there is no reason why its activists should not come under the scanner for their possible role in the act.
hi,
All our guess or predictions or exit poll may in vain.
Janata Dal may gain some good number of seats around 56;Congress have to be satisfied with 65 seats and BJP though have incresed in percentage of votes but seats may be hardly 79 seats.Rest will be shared by JD(U),BSP<and others.
Sahhasra Saagara
Hi,
No party or Government have interest of a village,town,district,state or country is of more than 34% people of India whether he/she may educated or not.
Unless and until the erradication of corruption Indians will not be able to get prosperity.
All Governmet had corruption and if a common man fail to pay bribe the work will be delayed and his/her work may not take off , due to this so many losses will occur.
Sahhasra Saagara.
PLZ VOTE FOR BJP AND GIVE IT FIVE YEARS U WILL SEE THE BEST RESULT THAN 60 YEARS DUE TO VAJPAYEE SM KRISHNA GOVT DEVELOPED
Dear Subu,
You still have some more time to correct your beliefs on BJP.
Globally, south Indians are appreciated and respected due to secular character not for wealth of merchant class. Please be aware of BJP. Plz don’t kill the ambition of middle class Indians. Please vote for JDS.
Thank you in advance to voting for JD(S).
why people are discriminating themselves as hindu , muslman and christain let us be united
ya irrespective of community and religion vote b jp the sole natio nalistic party !
Vote for BJP for stable Govt.
Yes, irrespective of caste and creed, we should vote “OUT” the BJP and send it into political oblivion.
wateva we dscuss the result is goin to b favourable to bjp
yoyo bjp roxx
3rd phase plasys very importent roll in gvt formation… if bjp gets more than 40 seats in 3rd phase.. then…there will be 5 years stable gvt…otherwise same jds(gevo) play….
devegowda will be the king of karnataka….& same old cheap politics.. haha leave it.. till ppl vote for rite person and party.. same thing continue.. sorry to say.. its we should be blamed…
Mr. Ravi Nair, i think u r from kerala. We dont need comments from u people bcuz u all r converted and being 100% literate u still remain backward state in India wat a shame!. And u people will always fight with each other. Still vote for anti development CPM.
mr. riva philip, this is for ur kind information:
BJP- 112-115
Congress- 80-85
JD(S) – 15-17
Maha Ekikaran Samithi – 2-4
BSP – 1-3
SP – 1-2
JD(U) – 1-2
Kannada Chalavali Vatal Paksha – 1-2
Raitha Sangh – 0-1
Indes – 1-5
One ineresting observation was the unprecedented percentage of polling in the coastal districts of Udupi and DK to which I belong. It seems that the voters there are trying to send a message and vote strongly for a particular party. This despite doubts expressed by Mr. Krishna about the delimitation exercise and his apprehension about low voting. In rest of Karnataka so far, there has been an upward trend in voting. It looks as if the new voters, the young and the educated have voted in far greater numbers compared to earlier. This should change the electoral arithmatic a lot. Wait and see…
Dear friends,
I’m taking the liberty of a different route to get to the karnataka elections & its results.Pls forgive my views if they r lengthy & boring.My remarks & opinions r not vested or biased towards any party or religion.
I really liked the enthusiasm & strong opinions shown by the respondants, especially in this era where our politicians & their politics has brought our country to this vegetable state.If our country & its people have prospered & acheived some success in this global arena it is inspite of our politicians & not the contrary.I am a total outsider to karnataka politics,as our families migrated during partition time & we being hindus were forced to leave our homestate( present day pakistan) to settle in India.Now there r no second thoughts in our elders minds that our lives here in india( where they started lives afresh as vendors after partition) r much better & safer than if we were in present day pakistan where our fore-fathers were owners of few taluks( so handsomely well off).One can clearly see India,Pakistan,Afghanistan started their lives as independent countries at the same time.At that time India was burdened by maximum problems of the three countries.Pakistan had the least of problems in all 3 countries(least per acre population;least religious,regional,lingual divide;most fertile soil under acreage,least debt etc.) See wat has become of countries like Pakistan,Afghanistan who were created on the basis of religion or who have chosen religion over wat was right or liberal today?See where our country has reached inspite of so many diverse religious,regional,cultural,caste divides.Im very amused by the hindu-muslim story & meaningless words like communal,secular etc being used when ever elections r 2 be held or a party like BJP is involved.I have no special liking for BJP or such parties but its surprising that no body called Congress communal when Mr. Nehru granted special status to J&K when it was annexed to our country at the same very time as so many small hindu ruled princely states were annexed to india but no special hindu religion status was granted to the people in those princely states.When Mr. Nehru was around we had far better & selfless politicians like Sardar Patel,muslims like Maulana Azad,Khan Abdul Ghaffar Khan,who if they had been given the PM post would have done better work than Mr. Nehru, and JK would not be a problem for us as it is now.Mr. Nehru not heeding to the advice of his own council thought it to be prudent to hear to his English Lady Love on such an important matter as JK as though he was fixing the location & time of his evening date for dinner. Even later he plundered on his unnecessary trust on the Chinese in the name of Hind-Chinni bhai bhai.We are paying heavily for his shortsightedness.Today we r spending money equal to providing electricity to 10 million people or irrigating 1 lakh hectares of arid land every year on JK & N-E from a threat of China.Even later we had real selfless & true leaders like Shastriji, Jayprakash Narayan but for our bad luck we lost them soon. We only remember Mrs. Indira Gandhi greatly even though she & Sanjay Gandhi were the 1’s who institutionalised & corporatised corruption in the bureaucracy & judicial systems. We have passed 60 yrs of independence but there is no common civil code.Still nobody seems to remember that majority of our population are needy & they are in the villages.Any party or policy which tends to divide people & not unite them on the basis of birth or family or religion cannot be right.Please tell me if any good parent who has 2 children,1 with a disability & another normal, will totally pamper & spoon feed the disabled child thruout its life & make it more disabled or will the parent make the effort to help the child overcome the disability & stand equal with the other child? But our great leaders r propagating more injustice & hatred among us people in the name of social justice by propagating the casteist & religious politics of quotas for backwards & minorities.No body callz CPM communal,corrupt & sycophant for making states like WB & Kerala into less resourceful, depleted,disruptive states & being majorly occupied by illegal immigrants( abt 4 cr. illegal immigrants in India thanks to WB GOVT) & Kerala ports have become safe haven for smugglers & terrorists having operations in the Gulf region.Thanks to politicians like Lalluji,Mayawatiji & Mulayamji today crossborder smuggling,kidnapping for ransom,prostitution,rape,arson in UP, Bihar,WB r runby organised crime syndicates each having the size & moneypower of the “D”gang.All decent & wealthy families r shifting their well set businesses& families out of these states.Young, educated people from these states r seen in large numbers working in the southern states of India.What have parties like Congress, Communists, Janata Dal,RJD,SP,BSP & leaders like Indira Gandhi,Sanjay Gandhi,VC Shukla,Arjun Singh,VP Singh,Lalu Prasad,Mulayam Singh,Kalyan Singh,Mayawati, done for the people except divide them on religious & caste lines for their political ambitions.Please tell me why do we remember RaniLakshmibai,Bhagat Singh,Dr. RajenderPrasad,Dr. S. Radhakrishnan,Homi Bhabha,Sardar Patel,Sri Lal Bahadur Shastri or hail present greats like APJ Abdul Kalam,E. Sreedharan,Baba Amte, Mr. Narayanmurthy, T.N.Seeshan. There were & are better freedom fighters, teachers, politicians, bureaucrats, technocrats,scientists than them but no body knows them.Wat differentiates these greats from others is their Honesty & Integrity.Any person who wants to vote must first atleast go around their respective rural constituencies & see the condition of farmers,rural people & have a look at the pathetic conditions of basic amenities like drinking water,education,housing,roads. Are u people better off in terms of infrastructure,drinking water,electricity, law& order, safety of women in your urban areas than wat was 5 years back?Wat has the sitting MP,MLA,corporater done for the common man in 5 years.If nothing but filled his/her pockets, then just kick them out by atleast cancelling your vote so that u don’t contribute to your future misery.People have always tended to vote for guys of their own religion, caste, creed, neighbourhood. Believe me I know so many people of my faith who are staunch believers of their religion but are no better than terrorists in mentality, whereas there r very good muslim, christians citizens, like APJ ABDUL KALAM, MOTHER TERESA. Actually wat we call Muslim Fanatics, it is not really a religion, MUSLIM is actually a “Mentality”, it can be in a Hindu, Muslim,Christian,Sikh,Jain,mullah,mualvi,pandit,priest etc.Good nature or mentality is not the property of any 1 sect,caste,creed,religion, but it has been recently been found that more Muslims around the globe have become involved in these fanaticial activities because of their misguiding & devious mullahs which is a tragedy.Where has the real Islam of Sufis,Darveshes vanished is another tragedy.
This is the state of affairs of todayz religion & their religious heads.So chosing a candidate on the basis of their religion or caste is so misleading. In so many years not even 5% of voters have chosen the right people thats why this state of affairs..Just imagine wat kind of person must 1 be to sell the safety & interests of the soldiers who protect us for the sake of money, so, so many defence scams since the Bofors scam was unearthed.
And last but not the least, have our people not given sufficient time to the Congress party( 30 YEARS OF UNINTERRUPTED RULE AT CENTRE & ABT 35-40 YEARS IN MOST STATES).The Congress people have become so bulky with their stomachs & pockets full of corruption that by the time they start to act 4 out of 5 years of governance r over.Would any 1 want a leader from a party where the remote is at the centre & which has proven that by placing a dummy PM at the centre.And a WARNING for the narrow minded Muslims who always vote for the Congress because of appeasement, now the Congress is headed by an Italian woman and her loyalty can be judged by the closeness of the Central Govt towards Israel,USA,UK & ignoring old friends like Iran,Palestine. A MONSTER THAT IS CREATED DOES NOT SEE THE COLOUR OF THE BLOOD, ITS ONLY NEED IS BLOOD, IT EVENTUALLY GOBBLES AWAY THE CREATOR ITSELF.
Hey guys:
When ever there is a political or small issue such as sports (IPL) we show our own character by differentiating ourselves. All the politicians our here or any country do not really think about their country, although they are the ones who suppose to. They fight so hard (logically should be to serve) to make sure they get a seat with which a tag of earning is confirmed. So, why just bullshit each other.
However, there is one factor that can be noticed, SM Krishna to me was a very good administrator and what he started years before are resulting today. Please note I am not mentioning him as a politician. He lost elections because rain did not support him and farmers commited suicide for poor rains and water supply, which came on the then government’s head. He was man enough to take the entire responsibility on his head for the defeat. Secondly, in the history of indian politics, we had not reached more than 6k in the sensex, now 20K looks easy. How? It is because we have world’s best finance minister and a former finance minister as our prime minister. With such able operators in the center, it is wise that we vote a party which gets able support from the center. Understand and vote………… We need to be wise, riots and other things will come and go (thanx to politicians) but we want a good quality life, which is important.
C U
Hi,
NDTV and CNN-IBM as well as kannada prabha-C four’s exit poll survey predict diffrent numbers. But still it indicating hung assembly.If it happens whom should we blame? H.D.Devegowda/B.S.Yediyurappa/people who stand in the big Q that too in the hot summer? or LORD BRAHMA WHO WROTE LIKE ON KARNATAKA FOREHEAD?
BJP=79;CONGRESS(I)=65;JD(S)56 AND REST OTHERS,TOTAL 224.
IF IT HAPPENS CRORES OF WASTED ON THIS POLL.
So, if it happens election system should be re-formed with ONCE IN 5 YEAR , IF ANY GOVERNMENT FAILS TO COMPLEATE 5 YRS ,THEN PRESIDENT RULE SHOULD BE IMPLEMENTED FOR THE REST OF THE PERIOD.
SECONDLY, WHOEVER MAY BE THE REASON FOR SUCH NUISENCE SHOULD BEAR THE ELECTION EXPENDITURE.
INSTEAD OF CAPTURING A THEIF OF A BREAD FOR HIS/HER LIVELIHOOD , GOVERNMENT SHOULD CATCH SUCH FOOLS / IDIOTS AND SHOULD BE PUNISHED SO NO ONE HAVE BRAVENESS TO DO SO.
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This predictions are highly biased. Entire country is expecting BJP to come to power. Only BJP can give a stable govt. All the best for the BJP in south India. Soon they will catch power in Andhra , even in Tamil nadu and kerala. These minority forts will be destroyed and captured by the hindutva forces, and india will be marking to the super power status with the tunes of sangh parivar. Karnataka need a strong swayamsevak like yediyurappa . Jai hind. Mera bharat mahan
I am sorry..I couldn’t read all the opinions here. There are two interesting observations from Narendra and Captain GP Mallya. If we get hung parliment this time, then as Narendra says people should be blamed for not voting in high numbers. But real interesting part is…it looks like on the face of it.. that people have voted strongly this time. I hope..(not sure) this will help in bringing the stable government.
@wetrueindians-chandan
Appreciable work dear. we need a good break from british invented & congress grown “divide n rule” policy.
I feel each one of us must participate in political matters. discuss n make the malicius politicians feel heat under their feet irrespective of any party…
we must condemn the likes Nehru (self oriented ppl) n hail the likes Patel n warn the likes Mahatma gandhi to make proper use of their power.
cheers