C-FORE EXIT POLL: BJP up, Congress still ahead

An exit poll conducted for Suvarna News and Kannada Prabha by C-Fore of the first phase of polling in the Karnataka elections shows a marked improvement in the BJP’s peformance in Bangalore.

The Congress and BJP are both expected to get 13-14 seats each of the 28 seats up for grabs in the capital. A pre-poll survey had predicted 17-18 seats for the Congress in Bangalore, 9-10 for the BJP, 0-1 for the JDS.

Overall, Congress is expected to get 39-42 seats of the 89 that went to the booths today, the BJP 24-27, the JDS 20-23, BSP 1, and others 3. The pre-poll survey had predicted 42-45 seats for the Congress, 22-24 for the BJP, and 19-21 for the JDS, 0-1 for the BSP.

The Congress is expected to get a voteshare of 38 per cent, BJP 24 per cent, JDS 25 per cent in the first phase, according to the exit poll.

# In the 61 constituencies outside Bangalore, the exit poll predicts 26-28 seats for the Congress, 20-22 for the BJP, 11-13 for the JDS, 0-1 for the BSP, 0-2 others. The Congress voteshare in these 61 constituencies stands at 36 per cent, BJP 20 per cent, JDS 28 per cent, BSP 4 per cent and others 12 per cent. Outside Bangalore, the exit poll is predicting a +4 per cent swing for the Congress, +2 per cent for the BJP, -5 per cent for the JDS and +1 for BSP.

# In Bangalore city which has 28 constituencies, the exit poll predicts a 42 per cent voteshare for the Congress, 42 per cent for the BJP, 11 per cent for the JDS, 5 per cent for the others. BSP gets zilch in Bangalore. The pre-poll survey had predicted a 36 per cent voteshare for BJP, marking a six per cent jump for the party. In Bangalore, the poll predicts a +11 per cent swing for the BJP in Bangalore, and a -2 per cent swing for the Congress in Bangalore.