G.V.L. Narasimha Rao, the man who heads Development and Research Services (DRS), the polling agency that has predicted a rosier performance for the BJP than the BJP’s own internal poll, has a piece in today’s Mint on why he thinks Congress will lose in the Karnataka assembly elections.
Reason #1: Congress’ inability to be seen as a party that can provide a popular, pro-people government.
Reason #2: Congress’ inability to take along Vokkaligas and Lingayats. Rao says two-thirds of Lingayats voted for the BJP while 43% Vokkaligas supported JD(S).
Reason #3: Congress’ inability to amass the votes of the scheduled castes and tribes, who constitute a quarter of the electorate, in the face of the BSP.
Reason #4: Rainbow leadership without draw. S.M. Krishna hasn’t consolidated Vokkaliga votes. Mallikarjuna Kharge hasn’t ensured Dalit votes.
Reason #5: Muslims indulged in tactical voting and didn’t always vote for the Congress, often times hitching their wagon to the JDS.
Reason #6: Lacklustre campaign without focus. No national or State leader campaigned extensively.
Read the full article: 6 reasons why Congress will lose in Karnataka
churumuri 
Dream BJP supporters dream.This is what you dreamn’t last time.And this is what you will dream this time and also next time.
Yediyurappa is a gutless leader who does not have control over his own party.If kumaraswamy becomes Cm again,then mark it.Next elections JDS will come to power on its own.
Take it
Next JDS strong holds– Belgaum,bijapur,bidar and raichur.Due to power transfer and other reasons JDS could not make much inroads this time.But times are changing.
I say if kumaraswamy becomes CM this time,its pack up time for BJP in many districts.
JDS has a way of working i.e concentrate on few districts and make them their strong hold.
Kumaraswamy visited belgaum 18 times in his tenure as a Cm was not for fun.wait for political actions to happen.
If JDS gets a kingmaker position this time,BJP forget the power for atleast next 10 years.
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@ sumkirla in english Says : I dont know of the dreams of the BJP Supporters but your Idea of HDD and Sons coming to power cant be DREAMT ALSO.You must be the most optimistic person in the WHOLE state of Karnataka to even imagine that the JD s would come to power.I Hope Yediyurappu probes all the land scams and the looting which happened in the Public Works Ministry and put these 2 Goondas behind bars.if need arises the concubine can also be sent alongwith them.I get the feeling SUMKIRLA is a Contractor who must have benifited by bribing and getting some contracts.that is the reason he shamelessly supports APPA MAGA Looters.I hope you guys say the udaya Tv interview with Ashok Kheny on Sunday.The family was exposed thoroughly.
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i am agree with the sumkirla,because young &dynamic ex cm HDK,he has shown others what the cm is?in 20 months he visited almost all districts. the only mistake he has done that he obeyed his father’s opinion while giving power to bjp.mr SURI has written abt goondas,sir in bjp there r more goondas than jds,ex,the great REDDY brothers ,katta, etc first these ppl should be send to jail.
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Hey, keep all those polls, predictions and exit polls handy.
25th is not far away.
Will all those offered their opinions and predictions be here to get heir face blackened :-)
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I am following this NICE since 1995 when it was conceived by then CM Devegowda. It was initially handed over to Malyasian firm but was later handed over to Kheny. It would be a very good project if Kheny would have built ONLY a world class road between Bangalore and Mysore and collected toll from commuters. He realised if he only build road it wont work out and hence came up with the plan to build 5 townships along this road and got an approval and land during S.M.Krishna govt. Why should farmers sell their fertile land for peanuts so that Kheny can build posh residences and commercial complexes and sell it to rich people. If he had built only a road no one could have protested it but its this real estate thing is whats causing the trouble. He got this land at throw away prices and is making money hundreds of times of what he has invested.
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I am not an alias for the dentist- but no-one can rule out the possibility of the JD-S holding the balance of power- unless there are people dreaming of a majority for the Cong or the BJP!
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Congress has betrayed the people of Karnataka. The Congress people who pose so many questions about BJP-JDS coalition government, what did they do when they were in power? Just to stick into power they played all their games. The so-called inside, outside, outside-inside, inside outside congress people have done some sufficient harm by their selfishness. Look objectively the development of any state, whether it is ruled bytheir party or other parties, assess the development and then come to a conclusion whether it is Modi or Mayavathi. Their own leaders express opinions unanimously. A more then century old party cannot bring senior, honest, disciplined Congress leaders of national repute to canvass for their party candidates. It invites leaders who just can’t read even the typed scripts properly. Campaigning doesn’t mean to just go on comdemning other parties, it is to project the party in the proper perspective by telling the people about their policies, goals and achievements. How many have done it?
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SUMKIRLA is right in guessing future actions of JDS. Any time I believe in utterings of HDK in place of BJP’s sugur coated promises.JDS is the future of karnataka
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^
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yellind bandvu ivu aache?
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JDS is just a father & son party who have the support of people from one caste only. All the second level leaders – Siddaramiah, Prakash, Sindhia are no longer with JDS. So, where is the future for JDS?
When Kumaraswamy became CM, people had hopes as he was still young. But he did not have any vision for development, did not have any plan to improve people’s lives. His village sleep-overs have proved to be just gimmicks. Having seen his ineffectual administration, it is wonder if people still vote for him.
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this guy has been advising and attending strategy meetings of the BJP during the current elections. what else can you expect from him. the paper in which he writes is also blissfully ignorant of this. shame.
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Chet,
If BJP comes to Power, It will be controlled from HQ in Nagpur. If Cong comes to Power, the Karnataka will be ruled by HIGH COMMAND. If JD(S) is in power power will be with Kannadigas only. I don’t want to hear all this bull shit that JD(S) is a party of only father and son. through they want to keep power within their family attleast they have done development in their constituency. I often travel from Bangalore to Mysore and can see Ramanagaram becoming district and constructions happening all over. All you guys are just jealous of Gowda that your caste men couldn’t become a PM. You utter whatever you want but can’t change the history. BJP people are all speakers but are really SPINELESS.
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@Armugam
Does he tell you before attending BJP’s meeting? If no, then I must appreciate your divya drishti :D
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>> His village sleep-overs have proved to be just gimmicks.
he apparently slept over in other places too. i remember churumuri post from that time with a blaring loudspeeker.
it is interesting to know that caste is such a strong factor for the commenters here. hopefully regular people voted with other issues in mind.
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This Old Mysorean is still “OLD” in his way of thinking, grow up.. Everyone knows how the Gowda Family( Father -Son) made mockery of themselves during the power transfer, they held the state at ransom for there personnal gains. Kumarswamy did not become the cheif minister by public choice, it was all planned by big. By getting involved in all petty things, He made sure people get fed up with Dharam Singh and Congress party, He kicked out all prominent leaders and set the stage for his son to become the CM. People wanted a change in CM and leadership and that’s how Kumarswamy captilized as better CM. He was not a Mass leader, it’s becuase of 1 Caste and SPINELESS people still voting and supporting JD(S) just because he became the PM from that Caste. Let me ask the question, in what way Gowda and Famliy has helped the State. Only hisi family member have enmassed wealth and looted the public. Untill such Gowda like politicians and it’s supporters continue to supoort, God only help us.
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Yaarbandhre yaarguntu
Maadthaare yivru Gantu
electionalli helodhella nijawalla hariyae …
Yaar Bandhre yaarguntu
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ULTRA MODERN SIDDRAM!! first get a Backbone mate, You seem to be getting carried away by emotions like BJP people!! I have lived in Gulbarga district for 4 full years which gave 2 CM’s and have seen what development work they have done. I have seen what development work Gowda & Sons have done atleast to their constituencies . I have seen BJP govt at the center which at each election claims “THIS TIME BJP” “ONE MORE TIME BJP” “BJP IS THE SOLUTION” what have they done in those 7 years?. The economic reforms was started by the congress govt when Manmohan was FM in 1991 and that is bearing the fruits now not as is claimed by this baniya party. The Nuclear bomb which this chaddis tested in 1998 was done and manufactured during Indira Gandhi govt. This chaddis behave as if they have patented “Desh Bhakti” and people who oppose them are unpatriotic. Better wear a pant now ontop of a chaddi before 25th. God will help you for sure.
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Dear Siddrama,
Devu has lifted all other community in addition a very few economically weaker Vokkaligas. Even though those constituencies are dominated by Vokkaligas, he has lifted other community people.
If you all think, vokkaligas are getting together; even Aishwarya Rai should have canvassed for HDK like Hemamalini doing for BJP. In addition, there are tons of vokkaligas, who could have backed Devu who lived in Madurai to Ooty.
It is not family based party, it is cadre based party. Even if you think, the politics is run by many families in the whole world. What is the big deal about it?
It is not a joke to build regional party against two national parties. Even Devaraju Urs tried, Kengal Hanumanthai tried, Bangarappa tried, Gunda Rao tried, RK tried, VRL tried, Vatal Nagaraj tried but all of them failed except H.D Kumarswamy.
If Karnataka wants to be dominated by national party and to be suffered under Delhi power, they can go for BJP/Congress, otherwise stick to JDS to save the identity and be happy.
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Well said Old Mysorean, I love cheddi-bashing :-). Siddrama looks like a perfect cheddi … has inherited their generalization mentality ….hating a caste for some XYZ…. how farcical !
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Dear Old Mysorean, First get your Brains set right dude and don’t get biased by Gowda’s, I support the political party which cares for its people and country. The selfish DeveGowda and sons, held state and it’s people at stake for there personnal gains. Look at the way he controlled the Dharam Singh government, and all the crocodile tears when his son tied with BJP. Being the coutries PM , he visted the sate 10-12 times and getting involved in local politics, Cheap guy…..!!!! Look at the wealth his family members have aquired, the whole karnataka knows that. Today karnataka stands below compared to other states because of polictical unstability caused by JD(S). JD(S) is father-sons party, Currently How many prominent leaders are there today except the father and Sons…? How many JD leaders have quit JD(S) because of the frustration or thrown out for raising against them. In 2004 JD(S) won 59 seat not because of Deve gowda and Sons, it had strong local leaders, none of those are present in the party now. After the elections results JD(S) will hardly get 20-25 and thrown to shit, Before comenting on cheddi’s, It’s time for you change your baised white dhoti, if not atleast tie it properly.
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“TWELTH CENTRUY BASAVANNA TIMES MAN” thats want i can say about you. If Karnataka is so backward why are so many gujarathis in Karnataka but few Kannadigas in Gujarat. Why are people from other states migrating to Bangalore?. In how many states have you lived?. Have you ever ventured out of Karnataka. How do you know Chaddis care for their people but not Gowda?. Gowda has created lot of second rung leaders but didn’t let them become CM thats all, Siddu was made deputy CM ahead of Prakash, Sindhia by Gowda . First learn to love your state and langauge before nationality. You are one of those who has given your ASS to north indians.
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Old Mysorean, I guess you need to visit a mental asylum, to get your brain right. You are one of those dogs wagging his tail behind Gowda, accept the facts in black and white instead just barking…
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Majority of the People from brahmin community never vote for other parties except BJP its already been proved in the past now the lingayats are having a liking for BJP(herds of veerashaiva leaders joining BJP) see power coming their way ,its the vokkaligas,idiga,kuruba and other backward classes etc.. that are usually a bit secular,open minded and vote for other parties.
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Siddram just one thing …just remove that flower that BJP has put on tour years and listen….”ALL PRICES have SOARED under congress rule and BJP is the ONLY SOLUTION”!! today crude oil in the international market is $135/barrel(It was around $80 a barrel 2 months ago) and for that BJP IS THE ONLY SOLUTION. How can BJP control CRUDE price and other commodities on which Indian depends on other contries mate?! Every where in the world petrol prices have doubled in a year but in India it has been increased only marginally otherwise inflation could have soared. For people who have got nice flower on their ears “BJP IS THE ONLY SOLUTION”. The first thing BJP did when they came to power in 1999 was to increase petrol prices from 30 to 37 a whopping 25%. Just see the difference between the BJP ad and Congress campaign ad. Congress doesn’t blame BJP for anything in their ad but Sushma Swaraj directly blames congress and thats how their culture is!! its just hype and talks but hollow inside.
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Almost everyone seems to be going at a tangent instead of some serious discussion. The comments by Mr. Narasimha Rao were on why Congress can not win in Karnataka.
Sumkirla sees BJP supporters dream in it and comes out with his own JD(S) dream.
It is only the TOTALLY BLIND supporters of GOWDA & SONS, who see every virtue in him. If they come to power, Karnataka will be what Laloo’s Bihar was. Father and Sons will look for CHARA in every Government deal.
If Madhukar really wants to learn what a regional party can do for its state all he has to do is study Lalu era in Bihar. G & S are nothing but Laloo for Karnataka.
Vivek has to keep his eyes open and see the number of Brahmin Leaders in Congress in BSP before he makes his comments. Brahmins vote those who they think take care of their concerns. In the past they have decimated BJP in Jammu region and voted Congress when they thought Congress was better placed to take care of them. Now they have voted Mayawati in UP. Dont forget that no 2 in Mayawati Ministry is a Brahmin who masterminded her win in UP.
Poli Huduga knows bashing only. What else do you expect from a Poli? All you read about the so called Chaddiwalas is trash published by those who are not either know what they do or who are ill dispensed towards them or who are plain jealous. If any time these bashers had visited flood or earthquake devasted areas or places ravaged by nature, third day onwards, they would have seen only the Army and Chaddiwalas working in those areas in searching and clearing the dead and marooned. All others would have by then fled holding hankies to their noses.
For the yeoman service rendered by RSS VOLUNTEERS during the War in 1962, the then PM, Nehru, in appreciation, had invited a contingent of RSS to participate in Republic day parade in 1963.
Guys don’t be one of the seven blind men and decide what an elephant looks like.
I am from Karnataka, born and brought up here, but have been in North also for long periods. I have been in Gujarat for many years and have seen what Modi has done there. Don’t sit in judgement sitting over here.
As regards poll ads and promises, no party can have a holier than thou attitude.
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Where are Old Mysorean, Freshly-Formatted HDD Madhukar, Byanna and Others?!! I can’t help gloating. Love to see the face of Dirty Devegowda and his dirtier Sons!!
What a sweet victory for BJP! Well done BJP.
I was delighted to see Bangarappa and Drumsingh lose!
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GVL,
You predicted well for karnataka. Not correct for Andhra Bypoll results are not matching with your predictions.
What will happen for general election in AP.
Pl. give a post on this.
Whole andhra is waiting for pre-poll survays.
give if chiranjivi comes what happens. If chiranjivi is not coming what will happen?
It appears in both cases YSR has edge….
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