G.V.L. Narasimha Rao, the man who heads Development and Research Services (DRS), the polling agency that has predicted a rosier performance for the BJP than the BJP’s own internal poll, has a piece in today’s Mint on why he thinks Congress will lose in the Karnataka assembly elections.
Reason #1: Congress’ inability to be seen as a party that can provide a popular, pro-people government.
Reason #2: Congress’ inability to take along Vokkaligas and Lingayats. Rao says two-thirds of Lingayats voted for the BJP while 43% Vokkaligas supported JD(S).
Reason #3: Congress’ inability to amass the votes of the scheduled castes and tribes, who constitute a quarter of the electorate, in the face of the BSP.
Reason #4: Rainbow leadership without draw. S.M. Krishna hasn’t consolidated Vokkaliga votes. Mallikarjuna Kharge hasn’t ensured Dalit votes.
Reason #5: Muslims indulged in tactical voting and didn’t always vote for the Congress, often times hitching their wagon to the JDS.
Reason #6: Lacklustre campaign without focus. No national or State leader campaigned extensively.
Read the full article: 6 reasons why Congress will lose in Karnataka