Arun Nehru in Deccan Chronicle:
“The situation is very complicated for all three formations (United Progressive Alliance, National Democratic Alliance and the Third Front) and few can predict today the picture that will emerge after results are declared on May 16….
“My assessment is that both the Congress and the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) will maintain and perhaps improve upon their 2004 Lok Sabha numbers.
“I also think that the Left will drop from 60-plus to 35-40 seats and the grand alliance of the Samajwadi Party (SP), the Rashtriya Janata Dal (RJD) and the Lok Janashakti Party (LJP) will drop from 65 to about 30-35 seats. The trends in Bihar and Uttar Pradesh show a change in mood and whilst the Bahujan Samaj Party (BSP) may improve its tally, both the BJP and the Congress may gain at the expense of the SP. In Bihar, the Janata Dal-United (JD-U) and the BJP seem set to demolish the RJD and the LJP.”
Read the full article: Trends show mood swing in Bihar, UP
Arun Nehru: part I, part II, part III, part IV, part V, part VI, part VII
churumuri 
He he he, just to keep in line with the byline of your blog “swalpa alli swalpa illi, last nalli navella kaali”
Cheers……..Jam
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Indians have even copied the survey reasearch culture From foreigners.In most of the developed countries the factors for a party or candidate to win is very less like development or few other factors.
But India is different in that sense.Here the factors list itself gets bigger and bigger.
Caste, locality,language,religion,education,money,liquor,poor and rich ,royal family,son of so & so…. so many.
instead of Just borrowing the Survey prediction techniques from the west our own educationailst should device a better survey methods rather collecting a sample of 1000 odd people and permuting it to decide the outcome which is lakhs.
I would like to see a more maturistic approach in these surveys.
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