While almost every pundit worth his pixel is writing his political obituary on autopilot, prime minister Manmohan Singh has bravely stuck his neck out and said there is no question of his calling it a day.
“I am not aware of anything that can be called a disconnect between the Congress party and the Government. I can’t say that I will shut up every colleague in my Cabinet,” Singh has said.
Dismissing suggestions that various ministers were openly sniping at each other, Singh has claimed his cabinet was functioning with greater cohesion than even Pandit Jawaharlal Nehru‘s and even suggested that he would go in for a cabinet reshuffle/expansion soon to reduce the average age of his cabinet.
The PM’s comments are designed to quell speculation (persistent since day one) that a) he might call it quits midway citing age or health, or b) may be given a quiet signal by the party to make way, or c) he might be sent off to Rashtrapati Bhavan to make the exit look more honourable, or d) fill your own conspiracy theory here.
Question: Will Manmohan Singh last out the full term till 2014 as he thinks he will?
External reading: Could Nandan Nilekani be a wild card?
When you work and take decisions you tend to tire and need a rest. But when you sleep all the time you last longer!
We dont know if Manmohan Singh will remain PM till 2014. However, there is every chance that Manmohan will be the last PM of Congress (congress as we see now.). And more than any one else, Manmohan will be responsible for Congress’ disintegration in India. Think of it. Till 1990s Congress suffered major setbacks, but each occasion, Congress bounced back. The exceptions are only a few states like Tamil Nadu. However even in Tamil Nadu the Congress base was strong with Moopanar the head. With Manmohan deciding the Congress policy at center, what we witness is that, Congress is getting wiped out one state after another. TN, UP, Bihar, WB, Orissa, Pondichery, Jharkhand.. even in Andhra if Jagan is out what is the state of Congress? Without Siddu what is Congress in Karnataka? Without Muslim League where is Congress in Kerala? Here is an interesting Blog which gives some interesting views- http://moronsview.blogspot.com/2011/05/2014-loksabha-election-resuts-congress.html
It is likely that, Many Sharad Pawars and Mamatas will emerge after 2014.. If Congress can not get the required numbers even with allies, BJP is problem is that, it can not get allies who can get the numbers. If there is a hung parliament, both Congress and BJP can not form the govt. The only parties which can support BJP or Congress during negotiations will not support them. Please read the above article. In that case, a leader like Nitish Kumar or Mulayam can easily become next Prime Minister. Remember, unlike state assemblies, there can not be a President rule in central level. Take one party, by another.. or take one state by another… It is impossible for BJP or Congress to form the next Central Government.